DATE: 5/15/98
STATUS: no-go

EQUIPMENT STATUS:

  Mobile Mesonets: CAM2 being repaired in OKC.  Completion date unknown.
  DOWS: Unknown.
  UMASS Radar: down indefinitely
  Rockets: In Jerry's mind.
  Turtles:  operational
  RALPH:  operational
  NOAA P-3:  

SYNOPSIS:  

Weakening cold front in central OK to SW TX will stall near a line from E 
OK to about 58 mi E of DAL to near ACT/AUS by evening.  Return flow will 
commence by Saturday morning.  

DAY 1 FORECAST:

No supercells expected ahead of the front in our region because of poor 
wind profiles.

DAY 2 FORECAST:

There is a slight chance of operations in the TX Panhandle.  Moisture 
return is expected to be marginal.  The wind profile will contain good 
turning but may be marginal in strength.  If moisture return is stronger 
than forecast, and upper tropospheric flow is stronger than forecast, 
supercells will become more likely in the target area.

DAY n FORECAST:

Long-range progs indicate near zero probability of supercells in the 
southern Plains.  The nearest band of flow supportive of supercells will 
extend from the Colorado High Plains into the northern Plains during the 
3-10 day period according to the MRF.  If the upper high develops further 
SE, it is possible that adequate flow will exist in the TX Panhandle into 
W KS and Nebraska.  The experiment PI's are considering an extended road 
trip to the central High Plains and/or Northern Plains during the period 
beginning Sunday.

MISCELLANEOUS:

1.  I am still seeking a Deputy FC who can be available on most/all 
missions until the end of the experiment.

2.  Please notify ER by email if you are willing/unwilling to participate 
in an extended "road trip" during the coming week.